Champions League Race: Four Teams, Two Spots and Every Possible Scenario on Serie A’s Final Day

Milan, Roma, Como and Juventus are battling for the last two Champions League places: here are all the possible combinations, tie-breakers and head-to-head advantages heading into the final 90 minutes of the season.

Champions race goes down to the wire

Everything will be decided on the final matchday of the Serie A season.

Two Champions League spots are still available, with four clubs involved in one of the tightest finishes in recent years. Milan and Roma lead the race on 70 points, while Como and Juventus remain alive at 68.

Inter and Napoli have already secured the first two Serie A spots for the 2026-27 Champions League.

Milan and Roma control their own destiny: a win would guarantee qualification. But several tie scenarios could completely reshuffle the standings.


Final matchday fixtures

Squadra38ª giornata
MilanCagliari
RomaVERONA
ComoCremonese
JuventusTORINO

The four-way tie scenario

There is still one dramatic possibility where all four teams finish level on 71 points: Milan and Roma would need to draw, while Juventus and Como both win.

In that case, the mini-table standings would send Milan and Como into the Champions League.

Arrivo a 4 squadrePunti avulsa
Milan10 (+3)
Como10 (+2)
Juventus6
Roma5

Three-team tie scenarios

Scenario 1

SquadrePunti
Milan8
Roma4 (-1)
Como4 (-2)

Scenario 2

SquadrePunti
Como9
Roma4 (-1)
Juventus4 (-3)

Scenario 3

SquadrePunti
Como7
Milan6
Juventus2

Scenario 4

SquadrePunti
Juventus6 (+1)
Milan6 (+1)
Roma2

Head-to-head tie-breakers

When only two teams finish level on points, head-to-head results become decisive. In two cases, overall goal difference would still be needed after the final round.

Current overall goal difference:

  • Juventus: +27
  • Como: +33
  • Roma: +26
  • Milan: +19
SfidaAndataRitornoVantaggio
Juve-Milan0-00-0Differenza reti totale
Juve-Roma2-13-3Juventus
Juve-Como0-20-2Como
Milan-Roma1-01-1Milan
Milan-Como3-11-1Milan
Roma-Como1-01-2Differenza reti totale



Guglielmo Timpano

Guglielmo Timpano

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