What is the situation of the top 9 coaches in Serie A? We “played” a bit with the percentages and possible replacements
Valzer degli allenatori in Serie A: solo uno dei “big 9” è sicuro del posto (Foto: Ansa/LaPresse) – serieanews.com
Have you ever wondered how unstable the life of a coach can be? One day you’re the undisputed leader, the next you’re in the balance, watched with suspicion by management and fans. Serie A 2024/25 is approaching its final sprint, but behind the scenes the bench waltz is already taking place.
With only one bench truly secured, some almost certain of their place and others still in the balance, the market for coaches could become more chaotic than that for players. What surprises will this long summer hold for us? Between heavy names, possible returns and twists and turns, the bench waltz is just about to begin.
Between those who are already sure of their places and those who are at great risk, there is only one coach among the “big 9” who can really sleep soundly. Some of the others, however, are still very firm and it would be hard to think of their farewell. Let’s see the full picture.
Marco Baroni 99%: conferma alla Lazio praticamente scontata
When you are the architect of a dream season, you can only enjoy the absolute trust of the club. Lazio has changed its skin and is preparing to armor its coach with a renewal. Baroni has exceeded all expectations, confirming himself as the true architect of the biancoceleste revolution.
Marco Baroni 99%: conferma alla Lazio praticamente scontata (LaPresse) – serieanews.com
He has enhanced players who seemed to be taken somewhat by improvisation, regenerated elements like Castellanos and Zaccagni who had become a bit of a fish out of water, and structured a roster that is now worth much more than he found it, with very important potential capital gains. Lazio’s future bears his name and his surname: we left him 1% out of overzealousness, but Baroni can be said to be absolutely confirmed.
Thiago Motta 75%: saldo alla Juve nonostante il PSV
It was supposed to be a transitional season, but his Juve side has shown it can compete again. Thiago Motta has been defended in difficult times and now that the results are starting to turn around, his place seems solid in spite of everything. A few market choices that turned out to be risky and the handling of the Vlahovic case weighed on his management, but both the results and the problems of “settling” the roster had to be taken into account anyway.
Thiago Motta 75%: saldo alla Juve nonostante il PSV (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
Of course, it is undeniable that the elimination in the Champions League with the modest PSV gave him a shove. But still, barring a disastrous ending, he will be leading Juventus in the next championship as well. Giuntoli believes very much in his project and is convinced that in the long run the results will come, and so a new winning cycle can finally open, with peace of mind for those who still regret Allegri.
Antonio Conte 60%: resta al Napoli, ma prima parla con ADL
De Laurentiis chose him to open a new cycle and the project seems well underway. The Neapolitan club will have a pharaonic budget in the summer thanks to the sale of Osimhen after that of Kvaratskhelia, but Conte remains unpredictable.
Antonio Conte e il suo futuro al Napoli: resta o salta tutto? (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
Beware, then, of a showdown. The situation remains averagely calm and no clouds are currently on the horizon, but if frictions over the future project emerge, a reversal would not be unthinkable. And beware: Milan and Roma have been courting him for some time.
Vincenzo Italiano 60%: resta al Bologna, a meno che…
Bologna is flying and its coach is the talk of the town. Italian took a team taken to the Champions League by Thiago Motta, failed to perform in Europe but is doing almost as well in the league as his predecessor’s little sporting miracle. In short, his place on the Bologna bench has never been firmer. And that is precisely the problem.
Vincenzo Italiano 60%: resta al Bologna, a meno che… (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
Whether he stays will depend on the calls that come in. Should he stay, the team could aim even higher. If not, the club will have to look for a successor up to the mark: among the papable names are Palladino and Zanetti, should the latter save Verona. But pay attention also to the resounding Gasperini idea: in Bologna there is Sartori, who worked with him in Bergamo, and the Emilian square seems to be the main suspect to be the next “fairy tale” of our championship.
Simone Inzaghi 50%: la tentazione Premier League e il fantasma di Allegri
To question the job Simone Inzaghi has done at Inter would be a crime. Sure, the recent defeats in the two derbies (Milan and Italy) weigh like a boulder, but the team is with him and wants to go all the way in all competitions. Internal confidence is very high, perhaps even too high: Pavard talks about winning the Champions League, Mkhitaryan calls his Inter team “unplayable.” Perhaps an “even less” would be appropriate, but in the end it is the results that count.
Simone Inzaghi 50%: la tentazione Premier League e il fantasma di Allegri (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
A Scudetto encore or even a great exploit in the Champions League could push Simone Inzaghi to try an experience outside of Italy, since by now the satisfactions in Milan have been there anyway and a cycle seems to be heading towards the end. In the Nerazzurri’s house they are not so convinced that the coach from Piacenza will eventually decide to stay, so Marotta would already be studying the possible replacement: keep an eye on the name of Massimiliano Allegri, who could be back in the running for the Nerazzurri bench.
Raffaele Palladino 40%: bella la Fiorentina, ma lui resta?
Raffaele Palladino is the paradoxical example of how sometimes results are not enough to be considered untouchable. Fiorentina wins and (often) convinces, yet every misstep becomes a tragedy. Why? Evidently something is smoldering under the ashes that goes beyond the mere project, otherwise one would never dream of contesting a team that is fighting for the Champions League with a budget significantly lower than its opponents.
Raffaele Palladino 40%: bella la Fiorentina, ma lui resta? (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
Rumors about Palladino’s account, however, are rife. Some alleged disagreements with the club could lead to an early farewell. In case of separation, possible successors include Daniele De Rossi and a tantalizing Sarri idea.
Gian Piero Gasperini 20%: c’eravamo tanto amati
After years of success, Gasperini’s cycle in Bergamo appears to be coming to an end. Screws with several players, fluctuating results and an increasingly frayed relationship with management hint at a change on the bench.
Gian Piero Gasperini 20%: c’eravamo tanto amati (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
And if Gasp left, who would take his place? One name could be precisely that of Palladino, or perhaps Vanoli if one wanted to continue along the lines of the 3-man defense. Otherwise, if there was also the idea of a tactical revolution, we would be spoiled for choice: Italiano, Farioli, in short, the usual names.
Sergio Conceiçao – 10%: al Milan contano i giorni
Sergio Conceiçao’s adventure at Milan has been a lost bet, now we can say it without fear of denial. Already the situation in the league is what it is and the game is lacking, already there are the usual problems even in the locker room, then the elimination in the Champions League has compromised his fate and the management is already looking for a new coach.
Sergio Conceiçao – 10%: al Milan contano i giorni (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
Ibrahimovic is already thinking about next year, and beyond the token statements it is clear that next year on that bench could be anyone but the former Porto man, barring miracles that are difficult to predict. Among the candidates: De Zerbi, Italiano and Conte, with Ibrahimovic pushing hard for the latter.
Claudio Ranieri 1%: il prossimo allenatore della Roma lo sceglie lui
Okay, it has been a difficult season for Roma; Claudio Ranieri has brought a modicum of stability, but we all know that he is only a ferryman ahead of a new cycle. The dean of coaches has already made it known that this will be his last season as coach, then he will help the club figure out who should be next to sit on the Giallorossi bench.
Claudio Ranieri 1%: il prossimo allenatore della Roma lo sceglie lui (AnsaFoto) – serieanews.com
Now the real crux is to figure out who will replace him. The dream is called Conte or Ancelotti, but the most concrete leads lead to Gasperini or Roberto Mancini. The casting has been going on for some time, the reserves will be dissolved only next summer, also to understand who will really be on the market and who will be interested in the Roma project.
This article Waltz of coaches in Serie A: Only one of the “big 9” is sure of the job appeared in its original version first on SerieANews.