The Leopards and the White Wolves fight for pride — and one last wild-card hope.
The Big Picture
DR Congo and Uzbekistan meet in Atlanta with both teams chasing their first win of the tournament. Group K.
DR Congo still has one point after its excellent 1-1 draw with Portugal, but the 1-0 defeat to Colombia left Sébastien Desabre’s side needing victory to keep any hope alive. Uzbekistan, meanwhile, has suffered two defeats, including a heavy 5-0 loss to Portugal, and must respond after a painful start to its first-ever World Cup.
Recent Form
DR Congo
Colombia 1-0 DR Congo
Portugal 1-1 DR Congo
DR Congo 1-2 Chile
DR Congo 0-0 Denmark
DR Congo 1-0 Jamaica
Uzbekistan
Portugal 5-0 Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia
Netherlands 2-1 Uzbekistan
Canada 2-0 Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan 0-0 Venezuela
Tactical Keys
DR Congo should have the physical edge. Chancel Mbemba, Axel Tuanzebe and Steve Kapuadi give the Leopards defensive strength, while Arthur Masuaku and Aaron Wan-Bissaka can push forward from wing-back roles. The key will be turning possession into chances for Yoane Wissa and Cédric Bakambu.
Uzbekistan must recover emotionally after the Portugal defeat. Fabio Cannavaro’s team needs a compact low block, better spacing between midfield and defense, and quicker service toward Abbosbek Fayzullayev and Eldor Shomurodov.
Probable Lineups
DR Congo — 5-3-2
Mpasi-Nzau; Wan-Bissaka, Tuanzebe, Mbemba, Kapuadi, Masuaku; Moutoussamy, Sadiki, Kayembe; Wissa, Bakambu.
Uzbekistan — 5-4-1
Nematov; Karimov, Khusanov, Abdullaev, Ashurmatov, Nasrulloev; Ganiev, Khamrobekov, Shukurov, Fayzullayev; Shomurodov.
SMIT AI WORLD CUP SIMULATOR
Squad Strength Index
| Team | Index |
|---|---|
| DR Congo | 75/100 |
| Uzbekistan | 69/100 |
Expected Goals Simulation
| Team | xG |
|---|---|
| DR Congo | 1.38 |
| Uzbekistan | 0.86 |
Win Probability
| Result | Probability |
|---|---|
| DR Congo win | 46% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Uzbekistan win | 24% |
Four Most Likely Results
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan | 17.6% |
| DR Congo 1-1 Uzbekistan | 15.9% |
| DR Congo 2-0 Uzbekistan | 13.1% |
| DR Congo 2-1 Uzbekistan | 11.8% |
Most Likely Result
DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan
Predicted Goalscorer
Yoane Wissa
Player of the Simulation
Chancel Mbemba
Confidence Level
61/100
AI Match Simulation
According to the SMIT AI Simulator, the match starts with both teams cautious. DR Congo controls more territory, using Masuaku and Wan-Bissaka to stretch the pitch, while Uzbekistan defends deep and tries to protect the central channel after the collapse against Portugal.
Uzbekistan’s best moments come through Fayzullayev, who looks for quick combinations with Shomurodov. But DR Congo’s back line, led by Mbemba, limits clear chances and wins most aerial duels.
The decisive moment comes in the second half. DR Congo increases pressure, forces Uzbekistan deeper, and finally finds the breakthrough through Wissa, who attacks space between the center-backs and finishes a direct move.
Uzbekistan pushes late but lacks sharpness in the final third. DR Congo protects the lead and earns its first World Cup win.
Why the Simulator Predicts This Result
The simulator favors DR Congo because of its defensive structure, physical advantage and stronger recent tournament performances. Uzbekistan has technical talent, but its defensive confidence is fragile after conceding eight goals in two World Cup matches. DR Congo’s compact shape and transition threat make a narrow win the most likely outcome.
Group K Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Portugal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 |